HARARE – The Daily News’ Elections Map crafted by the top newspaper’s Elections Centre reveals that Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai’s dominance in provinces outflanks that of his rival President Robert Mugabe ahead of the 2013 harmonised elections.
The map shows that Tsvangirai has an edge over Mugabe in the provinces of Manicaland, Harare, Matabeleland North, Matabeleland South and Bulawayo and as of the end of June, the total number of registered voters in these provinces stood at 2 661 741.
This is according to official figures from Registrar General Tobaiwa Mudede.
On the other hand, Mugabe dominates in the three provinces of Mashonaland East, Central and West with the total number of registered voters as at June 31, standing at 1 934 959. This means that the difference between the number of registered voters in Tsvangirai’s provinces beats that of Mugabe by 726 782.
It also means that Tsvangirai dominates in five provinces while Mugabe dominates in three.
There are two provinces where the two rivals are likely to share votes and these are Midlands and Masvingo which had a total of 1590 303 registered voters as at June 31.
While the numbers are not a reflection of the outcome of the 2013 presidential election, it gives an indication of the pattern of voting, just like in the 2008 election when Tsvangirai trounced Mugabe.
There are other factors like the Welshman Ncube faction of the MDC which might steal votes from both candidates.
While both Tsvangirai and Mugabe dominate eight provinces in total, it does not necessarily mean that all those perceived to have registered will actually vote.
Reports indicate that more than 6 200 000 Zimbabweans have registered to vote in the elections which will be held on July 31.
Harare and Manicaland which are regarded as Tsvangirai’s strongholds recorded the highest number of registered voters. In the last elections, the MDC made inroads in Masvingo province and the Daily News’ Election Centre believes that Mugabe and Tsvangirai will have a close fight in the province where they will almost equally share the vote.
In the Midlands, Mugabe had an edge over Tsvangirai in the last election but the MDC leader made serious inroads.
According to Research Advocacy Unit (RAU), Tsvangirai out-polled Mugabe in 70 percent of the constituencies in the 2008 elections.
Zec said Tsvangirai polled 1 195 562 votes which translates to 47,9 percent while Mugabe polled 1 079 730 which is 42 percent of the vote.
Don’t miss tomorrow’s edition of the Daily News for more info graphics on the 2013 harmonised elections.
The Daily News Elections Centre will give you a daily dose of cutting-edge election reporting.